Strict line up vs nook mile tickets, oh numbers

[Hobowire]

it rolls for species first, but it is random each time. So seeing a certain species on one roll doesn’t effect your chances on the next roll at all. Like with a coin toss it is 50-50 each time you flip the coin, even if it comes up heads 10 times in a row, the 11th time there is still a 50-50 chance it comes up heads.

Our brains really dislike randomness, but I think each time you go to a new island it is like you are going to your first island. the likelihood of getting a deer never changes. It’s always 1/35 (or however many species there are).

the way I tend to think of it to myself if I start to swear the game is conspiring against me is that the more that there seems to be things that look not random to me, like repeats, or seeing multiple of one type or species in a row the more likely is it that it really is random. we want to think random means evenly distributed, but it’s much more chaotic.

Post automatically merged: Jul 24, 2020

oh dang, I wrote out my very poor attempt at explaining this and I could have saved my breath! Thank you for this! I love reading about this stuff.

I under that each visit independent and there is a 1/35 chance of rolling a deer but with 120 tickets and species roll taking priority and not hitting once?!?! Perhaps my later runs will average it out but it seems unlikely. Ty tho.

 

[mayortiffany]

Honestly, if you're open to straight up buying the villagers you want, it will save you NMT in the long run. You won't have to spend time and precious tickets trying to get the deer you want.

As others have mentioned, there are great exchange rates in the Nook's Cranny forum for TBT. There are probably other people who would accept IGB/items instead. However, I wouldn't look for villagers in our forum unless there happens to be someone online with the villager you want. Though our community is lovely, villager trading tends to go very slowly in comparison to other trading sites out there. You'll likely be able to make deals faster through Nookazon or some of the trading discords.

 

[Hobowire]

Honestly, if you're open to straight up buying the villagers you want, it will save you NMT in the long run. You won't have to spend time and precious tickets trying to get the deer you want.

As others have mentioned, there are great exchange rates in the Nook's Cranny forum for TBT. There are probably other people who would accept IGB/items instead. However, I wouldn't look for villagers in our forum unless there happens to be someone online with the villager you want. Though our community is lovely, villager trading tends to go very slowly in comparison to other trading sites out there. You'll likely be able to make deals faster through Nookazon or some of the trading discords.

yea im getting some help from @Reneezombie with the deer. Community is awesome.

 

[Jhine7]

Good luck getting these villagers! I for one would just buy them through the New Neighbor Network, but props to ya for being patient.

 

[Hobowire]

Good luck getting these villagers! I for one would just buy them through the New Neighbor Network, but props to ya for being patient.

ty. burning thru some excess nmt atm too.

 

[Loriii]

Do you have Erik in your island? Are you looking for him?

 

[Hobowire]

Do you have Erik in your island? Are you looking for him?

but you just got erik? how did your girl respond to him?

 

[Loriii]

but you just got erik? how did your girl respond to him?

Do you have space right now? Well, my daughter decided against moving him in since she doesn't want any of her current villagers to move out. She told me that you might need him more for your deer/santa village.

So anyway, Erik is thinking about moving out right now (naturally, while I'm TTing, not via amiibo) so yeah, I can put him in boxes right away if you have space. Maybe in 30 minutes or so because we're about to have dinner.

 

[Hobowire]

Do you have space right now? Well, my daughter decided against moving him in since she doesn't want any of her current villagers to move out. She told me that you might need him more for your deer/santa village.

So anyway, Erik is thinking about moving out right now (naturally, while I'm TTing, not via amiibo) so yeah, I can put him in boxes right away if you have space. Maybe in 30 minutes or so because we're about to have dinner.

I can work on getting the plot. TYSM. It's breakfast here in NY. Are you looking for anything? Wishlist? Unordrable? I have a bunch.

 

[Loriii]

I can work on getting the plot. TYSM. It's breakfast here in NY. Are you looking for anything? Wishlist? Unordrable? I have a bunch.

It's fine. I'm not looking for anything at the moment. It's free. No need to pay or anything. You can get him as soon as you free some plot. He's original (clothes, catchphrase, interior, everything). Let me know. He's in my cycling/farming island so excuse if everything is messy, but his house is just a few steps away from the airport. I'll PM the dodo code when you're ready..

Spoiler

 

[Hobowire]

It's fine. I'm not looking for anything at the moment. It's free. No need to pay or anything. You can get him as soon as you free some plot. He's original (clothes, catchphrase, interior, everything). Let me know. He's in my cycling/farming island so excuse if everything is messy, but his house is just a few steps away from the airport. I'll PM the dodo code when you're ready..

Spoiler

still TTing to get the villager out.. I'm really sorry for the delay

 

[Loriii]

still TTing to get the villager out.. I'm really sorry for the delay

No worries, take your time! Maybe it will be better if we could just talk it over on PM regarding your progress so I would not spam your post Just let me know.