Moving Bubble Cycle Theory!

ripley4O77

RetroDeath
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Orange (Fruit)
I have a theory I'd like to run by you all, and maybe get some confirmation and tips on this.

In the past week, Lyman wanted to move out three times, and Dotty twice. Nobody else wanted to move. Now I have been trying to get Paula to move out for two months now. I had the moving bubble three times since deciding she was getting the axe, but it NEVER went to her, each time I had the moving bubble, I let it roam for at least two to three weeks.

But I came to a realization today; the moving bubble isn't switching to Lucky, Rolf or Boris or even Mathilda... because I told them all to stay. I told them all to stay because each time I had the moving bubble, I got sick and tired that it wasn't going to Paula, so I told those villagers to stay, hoping next cycle would include Paula.

And then today, I remembered, long before I knew that you could move the thought bubble, my first villager ever to catch it, and asked me to leave, was Paula, and I told her to stay, because it was early in the game, and she is one of my OG two (I'm keeping Lyman, I just never liked Paula).

So here is my theory, and question: Do you guys think, that once you tell a villager to stay, they will no longer be included in the moving bubble cycle, until maybe you told every other villager to stay or leave?

Unless this has been discussed before, I'd love some input.
 
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That is an interesting theory, especially since my original Flip, was the only one I've ever told to stay way back months ago and he has never asked again. However, I still believe he is capable of asking again if he wants to. Just sounds unlucky to me. But I could be wrong.
 
Nope. My current buble started on Nan who I already told to stay once before I knew you could reset it. Day 2 and 5 were also her.
 
even if it did work, it wouldn't be a permanent solution. as telling everyone to stay would just end up pushing some to request to move later, as nintendo loves to keep the villagers moving

it'd be similar to amiibo villagers not asking to move for new leaf, which ceases to be a thing if you just make a town full of amiibo'd in villagers
 
You just got lucky. Diana asked to leave, I told her to stay. Raymond asked to leave and I told him to stay. The next bubble was back on Diana again.

The move out mechanics have been known for a while and there hasn't been any new datamine information in a long time. Refer to the guide @justalittlemad posted for all the details.
 
You just got lucky. Diana asked to leave, I told her to stay. Raymond asked to leave and I told him to stay. The next bubble was back on Diana again.

The move out mechanics have been known for a while and there hasn't been any new datamine information in a long time. Refer to the guide @justalittlemad posted for all the details.
I would call it UNLUCKY, haha! I've been wanting Paula gone for months now.
 
No I don't think so, because my sister has never had anyone move out from her town and has told all her villagers to stay, but she still gets a moving bubble every once in a while. She also noticed that Megan has asked the move out the most times (multiple times).
 
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