Friendship Affects Move Outs! (Villager Move Out Datamine and Calculator)

[alpacalypse]

i’ve been wondering about when during the day the thought bubble can occur o: i’ve been tracking move-out dates, and i knew that i was due for a new move-out request about two days ago, so i was on the look-out for a thought bubble. many villagers i wanted to move out had one—rodeo, nana, cousteau, hazel—but they all ended up being requests. i thought that there just wasn’t a thought bubble that day and decided to wait until tomorrow, but later coco asked me to move! i thought it was really weird, because i’m absolutely positive that i had already spoken to her several times that day (she’s one of the villagers i always speak to if i pass by her), and i read from others’ posts that these thought bubbles usually don’t occur later in the day. i wonder how that happened?

 

[Karatekid5]

i’ve been wondering about when during the day the thought bubble can occur o: i’ve been tracking move-out dates, and i knew that i was due for a new move-out request about two days ago, so i was on the look-out for a thought bubble. many villagers i wanted to move out had one—rodeo, nana, cousteau, hazel—but they all ended up being requests. i thought that there just wasn’t a thought bubble that day and decided to wait until tomorrow, but later coco asked me to move! i thought it was really weird, because i’m absolutely positive that i had already spoken to her several times that day (she’s one of the villagers i always speak to if i pass by her), and i read from others’ posts that these thought bubbles usually don’t occur later in the day. i wonder how that happened?

You're not alone, that happened to me with Mac the other day. It's very bizarre!

 

[Sharksheep]

i’ve been wondering about when during the day the thought bubble can occur o: i’ve been tracking move-out dates, and i knew that i was due for a new move-out request about two days ago, so i was on the look-out for a thought bubble. many villagers i wanted to move out had one—rodeo, nana, cousteau, hazel—but they all ended up being requests. i thought that there just wasn’t a thought bubble that day and decided to wait until tomorrow, but later coco asked me to move! i thought it was really weird, because i’m absolutely positive that i had already spoken to her several times that day (she’s one of the villagers i always speak to if i pass by her), and i read from others’ posts that these thought bubbles usually don’t occur later in the day. i wonder how that happened?

Were you talking to Coco inside her house or building? The thought bubble doesn't appear unless they are outside walking about.

 

[alpacalypse]

Were you talking to Coco inside her house or building? The thought bubble doesn't appear unless they are outside walking about.

it’s been a while since it happened, but i’m fairly positive that it was outside! i recall running back and forth on my island to finish up my daily tasks, talking to coco each time i passed by the plaza as she strolled around in her work-out clothes, and suddenly she had a thought bubble that led to a move-out request! it was such a baffling moment to me that i remember the details pretty well c’:

 

[saucySheep]

hi can u help me kick out lucy or coco. i have cocos photo but not lucy's, lucy is the newest move-in too, and i can't tt. is there a method that doesn't require tt? or if not can you just tell me the probability of them leaving? Lucy has asked me to do favors for her a few times

 

[Miss Misty]

hi can u help me kick out lucy or coco. i have cocos photo but not lucy's, lucy is the newest move-in too, and i can't tt. is there a method that doesn't require tt? or if not can you just tell me the probability of them leaving? Lucy has asked me to do favors for her a few times

Amiibo is the only method that will give you instant gratification. If you don't have an Amiibo card you want to use and you can't TT, you'll have to wait for move-out season. Per the datamine, there is a 15 day cooldown from when you last had an empty plot before someone will ask to move again.

When the 15 day cooldown is up, talk to anyone who has a bubble over their head. If they ask to move and you want them to stay, use the home button to go to the menu and exit out of the game without finishing the dialogue. I recommend following the villager around before talking to them (keeping them on-screen so the bubble doesn't disappear) until you see the autosave indicator go through its full cycle, to minimize what gets lost when you reset. The next day, the game will re-roll which villager asks to leave. It's tedious, but it's the only way to have control over your move outs if you can't TT.

 

[Dracule]

Yo, this calculator is insaneee . I didn’t even know there was a 15 day cooldown? That’s much better than with ACNL.

 

[Peach_Jam]

oh man this is helpful 0: I remember getting a villager to move out used to be kind of vague, and mainly relied on the thought bubble and that's it. I had no idea there was a 15-day cool down period or that no one will ask to move for 5 days after you say "no" :')