Friendship Affects Move Outs! (Villager Move Out Datamine and Calculator)

How do we track exact friendship points; would it just be noting, oh it's the first time I can get them a gift - they must be at 30?

Just don't put the friendship points. You can track it by determining when the next level of friendship was reached and how many interactions you have had since then.
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This is strange because I'm most often asked by villagers who have already given me their picture. Either villagers like this or ones who have barely moved in 🤔 I guess even with a low probability that has still happened a lot for me with villagers who's pictures I've obtained

If you have a lot of villagers that are high in friendship, then their values start to even out more. The calculator shows this the best.
 
This is weird. I had my most recent move-in from the void ask to move out within 5 days of moving in. She moved into the house I had set up to search for a Snooty, so this was a while back.

Do you time travel at all? Wondering if maybe that confuses the various factors.
 
Everything is lined up for Frita to move out. The most recent villager I said "no" to was Erik. She was a starter villager. However, she has still not moved out despite my time traveling back and forth between the 25th and the 26th (I did it for a while).
 
I could have sword that I've had the most recent villager to move in ask me to move out first before, but maybe I'm going crazy and I did tt a lot so it's hard to truly say!
 
Do you time travel at all? Wondering if maybe that confuses the various factors.
It's a good thought, but I didn't at all back then. Even now on my main town, I think I've only changed the time of day within the true day.
 
OP, what's your Discord username?

I'm pretty active in that channel on Discord as well (same username and profile pic, although I do have a "stats girl" label on my name)

As far as the most recent asking to move out, it hasn't happened to me ever, and I believe the most recent field of thought among us dataminers and stats people was it's some sort of a glitch. (like not getting a smug as your first camper)
 
this is awesome, thanks so much for sharing! it all definitely matches what ive seen, except for the asking to buy stuff off you is only max friendship. shari and plucky have both asked to buy fish or bugs off me and have then displayed them in their house and i'm very confident they are not at max level. are fish and bugs separate i wonder? (i know this is kindve adjacent but i was wondering if anyone knows anything about it)
 
OP, what's your Discord username?

I'm pretty active in that channel on Discord as well (same username and profile pic, although I do have a "stats girl" label on my name)

As far as the most recent asking to move out, it hasn't happened to me ever, and I believe the most recent field of thought among us dataminers and stats people was it's some sort of a glitch. (like not getting a smug as your first camper)

Bioness #5469. I never post on the ACNH discord, just lurk. I hope I am not out of line sharing this information. I find it fascinating and feel the more people that know about it the greater our understanding of the game will be.
 
Bioness #5469. I never post on the ACNH discord, just lurk. I hope I am not out of line sharing this information. I find it fascinating and feel the more people that know about it the greater our understanding of the game will be.

Yes it's fun to participate too! I love seeing TBTers in the big discord!
 
Well, now people are going to start being mean to their villagers, which makes me sad. I'm a sap.

I don't see the point of being mean to them. Just ignore them and don't build up friendship via talking to them or gifting or doing tasks for them. Then they will be more likely to ask than your other villagers according to this datamine.
 
this is awesome, thanks so much for sharing! it all definitely matches what ive seen, except for the asking to buy stuff off you is only max friendship. shari and plucky have both asked to buy fish or bugs off me and have then displayed them in their house and i'm very confident they are not at max level. are fish and bugs separate i wonder? (i know this is kindve adjacent but i was wondering if anyone knows anything about it)

I think there are two different kinds of this that occur - the first is when you have a fish or bug in your inventory and you repeatedly talk to a villager and after a few chat prompts they ask to buy your fish or what have you. It seems like this one can happen in the middle-friendship range. The other is when a villager will run up to you calling your name and ask to buy something you have in your inventory. I think this only happens at highest friendship level.
 
That's odd, as Wolfgang asked to move out a couple of days after moving in.
 
I think there are two different kinds of this that occur - the first is when you have a fish or bug in your inventory and you repeatedly talk to a villager and after a few chat prompts they ask to buy your fish or what have you. It seems like this one can happen in the middle-friendship range. The other is when a villager will run up to you calling your name and ask to buy something you have in your inventory. I think this only happens at highest friendship level.
that makes sense, that was the case for both those trades my villagers initiated. thanks for replying!
 
yeah june asked to leave my friend's island the day after she was out of boxes, so i feel like that one is not true
 
my fav villager who i talk to and gift everyday, is most frequently in bubbles and wants to move.(I do TT often) So i don't believe having higher friendship points makes them want to leave less.

I've also had my recent move in want to move as well.
 
I don't see the point of being mean to them. Just ignore them and don't build up friendship via talking to them or gifting or doing tasks for them. Then they will be more likely to ask than your other villagers according to this datamine.
Well I don't believe it's accurate. I am ignoring Phoebe and also hitting her randomly with my net and giving her trash and NOT ONCE (and she's been with me since day 1 because she was an original) has YET to ask to move....everyone else I'm friends with on my island and I love and they've just about all asked at least once to leave.
 
Lol I'm trying to get the villager pictures asap of the ones I want to move out and giving them wrapped hanging terrarium while the ones I want to stay I'm just giving wrapped foreign fruit for now, so basically that'll mean that the ones I want to keep will have a higher chance of wanting to move out instead since their friendship level would significantly be lower by now lol 😂 tysm for this datamine, really helps
 
This is really helpful! Thanks for sharing! :)

I did my own experiment as well when moving out a villager. (I am not a time traveler, by the way.)

Pekoe wanted to move yesterday. Instead of responding to it, I closed my game and didn't talk to her.

For today, she still requested to move. (I was hoping to get someone else move instead.) I am not sure if this is something that you can pass onto another villager. But it looks like the game remembers still that a specific villager wants to move.
 
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