according to a recent datamine, villagers with low friendship do indeed have a higher probability of wanting to move out. There's a thread about it.Lowering friendship doesn’t affect a villager’s likeliness to move out. It’s totally random.
Apparently it does! This video talks about it backed up with datamined informationLowering friendship doesn’t affect a villager’s likeliness to move out. It’s totally random.
I think I was just unlucky to not have Frita with a move out bubble. But she probably has the highest friendship level, since she was here from the start.tbh, I think it only slightly increases the chances of her wanting to move.
I have personally had villagers with higher friendships wanting to leave more (I already have Sherb wanting to move out twice and he's the 3rd villager to gift me his photo) but then I was never outright mean to any villagers so I guess my friendship are more "equalized" if that makes sense.
I'm not saying the datamine is wrong but I don't think that being mean to a villager is a foolproof way to make them leave faster.