Yeah, it's just bad RNG, the other day someone posted a chart (which I see is posted in the comments) on the percentage chance of getting meteor showers... it's freaking 1%. You need to be incredibly lucky on top of having good weather to get it, so you'll get it eventually even if it sucks that you haven't gotten one yet.
A gentle reminder that your game isn't bugged~ You just have bad luck
- Thread starter Mairen
- Start date
Arithmophobia17
Senior Member
I feel like there was a glitch with redd in the beginning if you didn't talk to him that first day that he was roaming, but i'm honestly not sure - i TTed through that and then he wouldn't show up and people said it was a glitch. Other than that, yeah, your game isn't glitched.
Morningowl
Crose from Kiwi Isle
Its funny I was just thinking about this then thread a gets make. Pretty much yea to everything said. It is unfortunate if the rng doesn’t work in your favor and it is good to understand it(and not to freak out that your game is glitched when it is not xD). I didn’t C.J. for the longest time but my friend already had him a few times 
XD
XD
This one is possibly true as I experienced it. To fix it you had to get your art from another player.
The Hidden Owl
hm?
I see the odds for rainbows/meteor showers, are there odds for Redd's visit?
I play mostly at night from 10pm to 1am. I get a lot of meteor showers, but most of the time they come unannounced. Celeste comes twice a month more if I’m lucky. Isabelle has announced a meteor shower only once. I don’t think the game is bugged I just think that they mostly happen quietly so people aren’t aware of when they happen.
Skunk
∠( ᐛ 」∠)＿
I've had quite a few dates for meteor showers while aggressively TT'ing, so I just write them down, and TT back when friends wanna farm wishes.
RNG is a cruel mistress to some.
RNG is a cruel mistress to some.
Cheallaigh
Senior Member
read my sig... murphy and sullivan are heavy into games i swear, those evil irish twins... i'm one of those ones who's seen redd 2x the first day he shows and then a few days after that, haven't seen him since. i play a lot at night, meteor showers are a bit tricky, your villagers will mention one if it's coming, but you CAN catch falling stars pretty much every single clearish night usually in a pattern of 1/3/2 and might have to wait an hour for more it varies, just listen for the chimes. my RNG sucks and i know it, i think it's because i'm soulless and have to steal a soul for every freckle i have... my last wait was 2 1/2 weeks each for both cj and flick, i haven't seen celeste in over 2 weeks and it's been a week and a half since i've seen whisp, and as a bonus over 24 days between campers. meanwhile my hubby(who has a soul), gets no meteor showers, but redd, flick, cj, campers etc on a regular basis... lol.
Applebunny
Senior Member
I thought Celeste visited weekly even if there's no shower? Sometimes she spawns in weird spots though so it's good to look around each night.
I had a meteor shower once back in March and none since. I see a few shooting stars most clear nights though.
I also wonder if its more likely for some wandering visitors to appear than others (other than the guaranteed ones)? I've had Flick literally every single week haha, yet I haven't seen Redd once since his first visit. I guess its not the worst because there's somewhat of a demand for the bug statues..
I had a meteor shower once back in March and none since. I see a few shooting stars most clear nights though.
I also wonder if its more likely for some wandering visitors to appear than others (other than the guaranteed ones)? I've had Flick literally every single week haha, yet I haven't seen Redd once since his first visit. I guess its not the worst because there's somewhat of a demand for the bug statues..
this is a great explanation for people who might not be fully understanding how the probability works in this game!
Gremlins. I am absolutely sure it's gremlins.
Arithmophobia17
Senior Member
yeah, that's what i did. more recently since i hadn't had him in a while i tried doing it again and it didn't work, which clued me in to the fact that there weren't any glitches outside of that one lol
Yep. It's a logical fallacy to apply statistical averages to individuals. Averages might give you an idea of how things will go on the individual level, but they cannot directly predict how things will go on the individual level. RNG gets weird when you isolate cases.
I appreciate you putting people at ease with this post, but in my case I'm actually glitched. I've never had Redd visit. Not once. Ever. Period.
It's whatever though.
Oh geez Mello, that's terrible =( Did you try reaching out to Nintendo to see if they had any suggestions? Though I cannot imagine much could be done. If you play using a physical game cartridge, maybe you could try a different one?
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