Personality Types on NMT Islands Tied to Time

This is interesting and potentially a game-changer! Will be interested in following if there's any updates :O
 
I'm not sure if this is accurate coz I went island hopping a few days ago (between 2am to 7am) while searching for Whitney (got her at 155th ticket) and I've come across villagers with different personalities. .
 
I'm not sure if this is accurate coz I went island hopping a few days ago (between 2am to 7am) while searching for Whitney (got her at 155th ticket) and I've come across villagers with different personalities. .
I mean it's not supposed to be 100% of one personnality, just more chances to encounter certains personnalities at certains times of the day?


But depending on the data it doesn't always seem like there's a pattern..

Ashdew you have more Peppy maybe, but other than that yeah I don't know....
 
Yeah I have the feeling with the first datas that it's random as hell.
 
I'd post my list sometime later. I actually spent around 300 tickets but other than the first 155, I could not remember the time I resumed island hopping plus I went there on different times looking for a specific villager
 
I have like 300 NMT that i want to use for island hopping and so when someone moves out id love to research this myself!!
 
Hm... I feel like this is purely coincidental. Wouldnt this be in the datamines if it were true?
 
If there is any element of truth to this, I’d love to know when snooty villagers tend to appear (considering I don’t even have one yet).
I haven’t been completely keeping track, but I can say for certain that I have yet to get a single snooty or smug villager on an island (Marshal was my first camper).
 
Honestly it seems purely coincidental :0 I had more consistency with the clothes style/colour theory!
 
Have a look at the channel ‘tag back tv’ he’s done about 4000 tickets and he’s trying this method and he’s got a list of times and everything, he does a stream around 10pm gmt+1 most nights on island hopping at different in game times to check this
 
The only thing that datamining revealed that the game roll species first and then select from that pool. I was island hopping second Saturday of this month, I mostly got jock but I went island hopping last Saturday and I don't have much jock this time around.
 
I saw TagBack TV on youtube was testing this out but didn't know if it was confirmed

Was going to try and track mine. These were the results from my last island hopping (didn't have too many because I wound up recruiting Tasha)

Goosejock3:58
Eloisesnooty4:09
Sylvananormal4:11
Spikecranky4:20
Marshalsmug4:30
Pattypeppy4:33
Buzzcranky4:35
Clydelazy4:42
Bonbonpeppy4:48
Elviscranky4:49
Pangopeppy4:53
Goosejock4:57
Gretasnooty4:59
Mottjock5:03
Normanormal5:05
Tashasnooty5:12
 
Like others have said, I'm hesitant to believe any theories not backed by data. Most of these so-called theories are patterns that our brains come up with to try and make sense of randomness, and oftentimes, we overthink stuff.

The only theory that has the data to back it up currently is species roll first. However, I didn't datamine anything (contrary to popular belief, I did NOT hack into the game to get the code) and just collected the data from others and did some proper statistical testing.
 
I mean on some it does seem like there's something to it and on others it looks completely random... I would say on most actually... So I don't know. I'd be nice to help people island hoping but... Yeah... I'll go have a look at those Tagback TV video though, whatever the results are it's interesting to look into!
 
at least with this, with more data we can actually see if it's definitely random or not.
If a bunch of people's data contradict each other, then we can call it a "fluke".
 
Here is more data. I went at 8 pm island hoping

Violet, snooty,

Leonardo, jock

Stella, normal

Coach, jock

Pietro, smug

Renee, uchi

Phil, smug

Roald, jock

Stu, lazy

Stu, lazy

Rodeo, lazy

Stu, lazy

Biff, jock

Roald, jock

only think I can see is that almost no normals.
 
If somebody sets up a way to track this I did 95 on various days between 6-7pm, 14 smugs out of 95 (which might be significant because I already have 2 smugs on my island: 0.1473 observed vs. 0.084 theoretical smug proportion)
 
I also got a lot of smugs between 6-7pm! and I also a got a lot between 3-4pm, but none between 12-1pm like the twitter post suggests.
 
I’ll keep an eye on this and if it pans out, I want the peppy times. I only island hop when I can salvage a trip with tarantulas, so maybe I’ve been cutting myself off from peps.
 
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