Nook Miles Tours- Frequent Repeat Villagers

[Typhloquill]

So I have been doing a lot of tours, so of course I've seen a lot of repeats. However, I've been noticing that villagers that repeat sometimes tend to repeat close to when they last showed up. In about 15 tours I did back to back, I saw both Rocket and Del twice. I'm sure it's all coincidence, but it's still weird. I've also seen characters like the Octopi a ton, but haven't seen much of the cat villagers. Wonder if we will get some more data about how it chooses to populate the island and if it's more than just the same odds for everyone.

Anyone else have similar experiences?

 

[eve7]

Same here!! I've run into Drago, Tipper, and various other villagers 2-3 times while doing a 40 NMT run once. It was very annoying to say the least, lol.

 

[Stil]

Yes. Common villagers are a thing unfortunately.
There is a rarity to them.

 

[Underneath The Stars]

one of the gorillas and pigs, i've seen them twice. but for some reason, the octopi appearance rate is HIGH for everyone. seeing as like 80% of members here have marina, and she's auctioned every single day. i've heard people saying when they don't adopt an octopi, they keep seeing them on the islands. i wonder if this is a decision or the creature type being drawn first is a factor--which i doubt because i probably have only seen 2 cats.

 

[Aliya]

I was island hopping over the past few days for new villagers and in around 170 tickets, I saw 22 villagers twice, 4 three times and Octavian four times :'). Personalities were fairly evenly distributed, but I wish there was a way to prevent repeats because it's so frustrating!

 

[Fey]

I’d be curious about the octopi too.

I’ve been wondering if there’s an increased rate of seeing Zucker on the bamboo Island, since that’s were both me and my friend found him (plus I think they showed him in one of the trailers)

 

[Underneath The Stars]

wait thinking about it i've seen zucker and octavian once too.... what's going on

i already have marina, so if i wanted all 3 of them i could lol

 

[Typhloquill]

I’d be curious about the octopi too.

I’ve been wondering if there’s an increased rate of seeing Zucker on the bamboo Island, since that’s were both me and my friend found him (plus I think they showed him in one of the trailers)

Huh, interesting. I've seen Zucker so many times that I can really confirm this, but it would be interesting if different island types had different spawn rates. Would really love to see the raw data on all of this if it is ever dug up.

 

[DeadGhostFire]

in ~55 tickets I found marina on my third (kept) and saw octavian 6 times. Zucker once too.

 

[Jared:3]

Im thinking the spawn rates for the octopi are high because it seems like almost everyone has at least 1 of the 3 in their town lol

 

[Goop]

I was just on a Tour Run (about 18ish used) and saw Jeremiah twice, and not 1 but 3 of previous villagers I've already had on my island.
That's still a decent ratio and I ended up getting an amazing Villager in the end, but Jesus I was real upset there for a while.​

 

[Hopeless Opus]

i've seen a few duplicate villagers, but not the ones you've described here. strangely enough i did run into both zucker and marina on the same day, i was pretty surprised at that. since then, i haven't seen them again, though.

 

[Wolfgirl786]

I did a 50 NMT run and didn’t see a single octopi, so I’m thinking it has to be pretty random and I only saw one cat Hunting for Raymond.

 

[Altarium]

I ran into Broffina twice in the span of 5 tickets, but I also found both Zucker and Marina within 10 tickets. I don't think I've even seen a cat yet.

 

[thelonewanderer]

in ~55 tickets I found marina on my third (kept) and saw octavian 6 times. Zucker once too.

So you pass on the other two?

 

[DeadGhostFire]

So you pass on the other two?

haha yeah, wasnt too interested in them

 

[Calysis]

I encountered Marina twice in a row on a Raymond hunt. My bf also just encountered Olaf twice in a row while helping me hunt Raymond. He did manage to find Judy, though. It's definitely annoying seeing the same villagers over and over. :|

 

[BunnyTears]

i found olivia on an island, but she's the only cat i've seen!

 

[Rhuenkun]

In 65 tickets, I’ve seen Skye literally three times now (and it kills me every time because she’s so sweet and cute but I have two normals on my island already...)
I’ve seen Beau and Amelia twice as well. I swear it’s just some bad RNG though.

Now that everyone mentions it.... two of my friends have Marina, which I thought was surprising considering they seemed so elusive in NL, and I’ve definitely skipped over both Octavian and Zucker

 

[brockbrock]

After spending 500+ (I think it was 517?) tickets hunting for Raymond, I can say that repeats only a few villagers after each other were VERY common for me.

Then there were a few villagers I saw disproportionately more than others (Bubbles 17x, Claudia 15x, Mott 11x, Tank 8x, Annalisa 6x, Rhonda 6x, Zucker 6x).

Don't lose faith if you haven't seen the villager you're hunting. For those of you who have shiny hunted in Pokémon before, you may be aware of the Bernoulli Process. With roughly 1/380 chance of finding a specific villager, you will have a roughly 63% of finding that villager after using 380 tickets. Your odds increase, but they slow down the closer you get to 100%.