Odds of finding Raymond? [Update!]

[coffee biscuit]

It took me 340+ tickets for me to find Raymond so yeah, it all depends on your luck ^.^''
Some people can find him on their very first ticket and some won't find him until 500 or more tickets. Won't know how lucky you are til you try.
Good luck!

 

[PugLovex]

i know how you feel! i had spent a ton of time looking for my dream villager list (raymond was on that list) and i went through about 300 tickets and found none of them, just villagers i didn’t want and tons of repeats (i got zucker 10+ times). my best friend was using her NMT and found raymond on one of her islands. she took him home and originally planned on selling him for stuff, but she knew i wanted him so she gave him to me and i gave her stitches and some bells. it’s frustrating i know!

sherb was also on that list, and a couple days ago he just so happened to be at my campsite! i was really happy but he kept asking for beau to move and i didn’t want beau so i just said screw it and gave up. then bianca moved out and i found him on one of the mystery islands so i took him!

same case with beau and fauna. i had used about 200 tickets before finally finding beau which was one of my dreamies, and i found fauna pretty early. the process is frustrating!

 

[Lil_b]

I hate to be that guy but today I had a fat stack of NMTs with the intention of using all of them to find Raymond - lucky for me I found Ankha (19th ticket) and Raymond on the 34th ticket.

To note - I already had a smug villager on my island so that definitely didn’t stop me from getting him!

That said - a few weeks ago I was looking for Judy and spent SO many NMTs and never found her on an island.

Unfortunately there’s no rhyme or reason when it comes to island hopping for villagers but best of luck because finding can and does happen!

 

[milraen]

Going island hopping for a specific villager sounds horrifying to me. I already sort of hate both of the dodos after having to listen to their repetitive, lengthy text every single damn island.

 

[tonkuri]

i got him in like 5 nmts but it was just me being stupidly lucky for once, lmao. searching for specific cats is rediculously hard because of the species roll thing

 

[Underneath The Stars]

the more you don't want him, the more chance you get him... so pretend you're one of the anti-raymond's!

this is just a joke tbh lol.... i found that people who don't even want him get him, then sell or trade for him online? meanwhile people who desperately want him end up using 200-400 tickets!!! it's all down to luck as it is random & it rolls our species first.

the question is... how do y'all get 400 tickets??? SHARE THE TRICKS

 

[Glake]

Fill your island with Cats if possible to increase your odds. I personally have always been able to come across at least one of the new villagers within 25NMT's or less.

 

[Cheburashka]

the more you don't want him, the more chance you get him... so pretend you're one of the anti-raymond's!

this is just a joke tbh lol.... i found that people who don't even want him get him, then sell or trade for him online?

Totally! He was my second random smug move-in, I traded him for NMTs in an FB group, got another random smug move-in (Pietro) who also left after some time, then went mystery-island-hopping with no more smugs left on my island and met Raymond AGAIN on my second ticket He's now my first ever returnee. Initially I only invited him back to trade him again but in the meantime he's kind of grown on me, so I might just keep him this time

Also I haven't got any other cats on my island.

 

[Lavulin98]

I think this is a great trick since at least when you have a villager you wont get repeats of it on the island. so you lower the pool of cats.

 

[Akemi]

It only took me seven NMTs to find him chilling on a mystery island. He was my sixth villager to move in counting the starters, and I dread the day he wants to move.

U can just say no. I got all my dreamies and they will never leave.

Also I got Raymond on like my 5th ticket but I had to trade for Judy bc I couldn’t find her. Also like EVERYONE want Raymond for Judy lol

 

[GavarKhai]

you'll probably hate me but i just got him as my first random visitor to my new camp site earlier today.

 

[raennbow]

I read it was about a 0.12% chance to find him on a mystery island because it rolls for species first.

I gave up after 200 NMT and my bf found him for me on his second "random" move-in (he used the method I suggested about having no smugs living on your island so the game will "fill in" the personality you lack).

I’ve never heard that before, but I’m gonna have to try it out regardless. I really think it’s just up to chance, though. I had Octavian as my cranky villager, but Vic still moved in. Just gotta roll with the punches, I suppose.

 

[Evadere]

I was very lucky finding him yesterday with 6 NMT which was also the same for Audie

 

[seularin]

havent got raymond

but its all about that rngness

 

[kojuuro]

Apparently it's about 1 in 1000 chance?? It's an abysmally low chance to get a particular villager, especially cats since the game rolls species first, and then the villager

 

[coffee biscuit]

I had to hunt for Raymond twice due to resetting shenanigans and I found him between 340-400 tickets both times. On islands it rolls by species and there's a lot of cat villagers so I've heard the chances to find Raymond are like, 1/1000 which I'm not sure is accurate or not.

I've seen a good amount of people who said they found him within 500 NMTs though.. but I've also seen some really unlucky people who said they spent 800-1,00 tickets to find him. That's RNG for you.

 

[Frequency]

The attempts where I kept count was 110... but there was probably more that I didn't consider counting because I wasn't exactly hunting for him at the time (like the beginning of the game where you can't get him yet and the time I wasn't sure when I was able to hunt for him, so I just waited until I had an empty slot after I got 10 villagers and then officially hunted for him, but I didn't go to mystery islands much). Between all this, I'd roughly say 150-225 total?

While I was hunting for Raymond, I ran into Audie the first time at 24 attempts, then after freeing another spot on my island, I did another 86 attempts before finally running into him. I see that people are mentioning species first, and I did have Punchy on my island before hunting for Raymond for the round after Audie.

 

[Chachamaru]

He was my designated smug camper lmao

 

[drchoo]

It took me 113 tickets to find him, and over a day. I fell asleep before the daily reset and made sure I didn't exit the airport so the empty plot wouldn't fill by Tom Nook.

 

[th8827]

There are 35 species, so there is a 1/35 success rate for getting cats.

There are 23 cats in New Horizons, so there is a 1/23 success rate for getting Raymond if a cat spawns.

1/35 * 1/23 = 1/805 = 0.0012... = 0.12%