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Yeah, totally random. I always make a list of hints that the villagers give me over the month. They give you two hints, unless it's something like wallpaper. Then you get only one hint. Good luck!
There is a guide that lists the colours for each item, I believe Thonky made it if you google it.
But you need to write down the hints your villagers give you. I usually use the DS's notes function so I don't lose a piece of paper or have to shut down the game.
im pretty sure it's random, so there is no way someone would compile a guide. just make sure you write down what your villagers ask for so you know which one to give to them when toy day comes around~
and like ppl mentioned before, you dont buy the gifts, jingle will give you a sack with items and everyone's gifts will be in there, you just have to give them to the right villager.
Lolly told me she wanted something colorful, and then she said carpet, so I knew she wanted a colorful carpet--but I TTed back to March, her birth month...so yeah, lol
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I'm going with all of the posts above, though, it's probably random. I'm not sure; I've never experienced toy day.