A day spent island hopping and I'm crushed

I agree! We should be very grateful, we basically get to pick all our villagers except the first campsite villager (if you reset for the starters).

If you don't invite the first camper in, do they stay camped in your town forever?
 
I haven’t seen a villager on a Nook Miles Island in a long time. However, there is a catch on whether or not an island visit is worth it.

If it’s that Tarantula Island visit, it’s worth more than I can imagine.

If it’s a Money Rock Island, I would strongly approve.

If it’s the Trash Island, it’s not worth it. Not only every fish I can catch is trash, but there’s no way I can catch a tarantula on that island.

If it’s any island with a note in a bottle or a fossil, I would say it’s worth it.
 
One real quick test that we could do real quick to get a sense of the randomness:

Compare number of octopus (Marina, Zucker, and Octavian) islands to number of notOctopus islands or total islands in a set sample.

Since there's only 3 octopuses and they're quite memorable, we can use a null hypothesis test to see if we're getting roughly around 3/391 for the frequency we see an octopus or is it much greater?

I've also been keeping an incomplete spreadsheet of my island hopping, but will move to a more detailed one for the next spree I go on (no one is asking to move out lol) But if any of y'all wanna DM me your data/spreadsheets so far, I'll see if I can find anything with the Octopus test lol
 
I'm not sure if this has been said yet, but the villagers that are on islands appear to be of a type you don't have or in a certain pattern in which you are expected to get villager types, so if you notice that the villagers you encounter are the same types, that may be why you are getting duplicates as well as not getting who you are looking for if they are different personality type
 
I also refuse to believe its RNG as I've seen the same villagers a few times, always the lions, one time I even saw 2 of the same lion villager in a row on two islands in a row.. like. ?? And I've yet to see horse, cats and wolf villagers on the islands..
 
Welp I just went and did another 45 trips on my hunt for Raymond. At least 300 trips between my bf and I looking for this elusive cat. I wrote down who I encountered, if I found a hybrid island (unfortunately only encountered one this time), and I marked who I encountered more than once with a (2). Spoiler for those who are interested.
1. Lionel
2. Jeremiah
3. Hippeux
4. Bangle
5. Violet
6. Rodney
7. Tipper - tulip hybrids pink/black/orange
8. Gala
9. Twiggy
10. Avery
11. Victoria
12. Flora
13. Bangle (2)
14. Benjamin
15. Jay
16. Stu
17. Rhonda
18. Freya
19. Ricky
20. Rhonda (2)
21. Opal
22. Angus
23. Sterling
24. Annalise
25. Ruby
26. Fuchsia
27. Carmen
28. Admiral
29. Pinky
30. Jeremiah(2)
31. Pashmina
32. Fuchsia (2)
33. Benedict
34. Elvis
35. Tank
36. Billy
37. Octavian
38. Bluebear
39. Vic
40. Naomi
41. Lopez
42. Boomer
43. Camofrog
44. Raddles
45. Boyd
I plan on writing down each villager I come across from now on. Wish me luck lmaooo.
 
i know how you feel, spent 150 looking for Judy. Got a lot of repeats and not one dreamie thats not Judy. Feeling real crushed over it.
 
honestly i doubt its a good idea to look for dreamies on these tours, they clearly arent meant for that. i cant tell u or anyone how to play the game, but for me personally, not stressing over finding very specific villagers and being open to making new friends has helped enjoy the game to the fullest 🌷 i wish u luck next time tho! :)
 
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I was planning to do at least 13 trips but shortened it to 11 because I found Stitches and didn't want to risk any more chances. I remember writing down 11 names but my phone didn't save so I tried to remember the ones I came across.

  1. Monty
  2. Bianca
  3. Octavian
  4. ???
  5. Derwin (ewwwww)
  6. Piper
  7. Benjamin
  8. Poncho
  9. Caroline
  10. Rocket
  11. Stitches

I was considering whether or not to get Bianca at some point but then decided to skip her because I already had like 2 preppy villagers. Like I said, I highly doubt I'll ever get Raymond considering the kind of luck I normally have and how it's going to be like a 1/397 chance. I was also on the lookout for villagers I would be willing to have as well!

  • Zell
  • Beau
  • Erik
  • Goldie
  • Lolly
  • Molly
  • Jaques
  • Sterling
  • Coco
  • Marshal
  • Fauna
  • Diana
  • Kyle
  • Wolfgang
  • Chief
  • Bob
  • Lucky
  • Punchy
  • O'Hare
  • Bruce
  • Sherb
  • Daisy
  • Merengue
  • Julian
  • Roscoe
This would mean that, with Raymond, I would have a 26/397 chance of getting someone on this list.
 
honestly i doubt its a good idea to look for dreamies on these tours, they clearly arent meant for that. i cant tell u or anyone how to play the game, but for me personally, not stressing over finding very specific villagers and being open to making new friends has helped enjoy the game to the fullest 🌷 i wish u luck next time tho! :)
Unfortunately a lot of people will do this since majority of people (and their uncles) in the AC fanbase love Raymond and would rather do island hopping compared to paying some of the absurd prices that cat is going for
 
It truly feels like they know what you want, and avoid giving you that (I know they can't actually design it that way).

I didn't realise the hype behind Raymond, until I googled him when I came across him without trying, so I took him to maybe auction or give away at a later date.

I feel lucky but personally I'd have been much more excited over any of the octopus villagers.
 
I think some are missing the point. I like to think that some of us don't mind inviting other villagers to move in. The process of moving out a villager is equally frustrating that those who have preference have to be careful when setting down an open plot as well as the time limit when an plot is open after a villager move out.

Keep in mind that not all of us have amiibos to guarantee a move out as well.
 
I island hop for dreamies because I don’t have an absurd amount of nmt to offer people selling my dreamies. Also don’t have amiibos of my own. Sure I used 150 nmt in my recent island hoping, but I got them from selling a villager and previous tickets.
 
I can agree with some of the statements that unless you are a super lucky person, or have hundreds and hundreds of NMT to spare, it might be easier on your heart to come up with a list of maybe 10 potential villagers that you'd be willing to accept. And just keep on the lookout for good deals on your favorite one to appear at some point. Or maybe schedule a certain number of island visits and that's that.
 
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I also found Sherb on a hybrid island on my old island. Odd lol.

I decided to quit island hopping and just wait for a random move in while kicking out any smugs via amiibo. I'm a cycler so I realize this process isn't exactly ideal for most. Raymond randomly moved in on his own accord today, with the suspected help of missing a personality type. I feel like you're bound to get a set of villagers predetermined by your game on these random islands, like as if flowers were generated. I feel this way because I see the exact same villagers each time I do island hopping. I also have found Audie twice within 50-60 tickets, while seeing the same hippos many times, the same dogs many times, and no cats at all. I am only a small sample size though, I've only really owned about 130 tickets total. Everything seemed to be the same for me. It's really rare for me to find anything else. But I know I'm probably just speculating this, not speaking this into factuality.
 
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