Kirbystarship

I actually think that Republicans filibustering a Republican justice nominated by Obama is very insensitive. And Merrick Garland was on the waiting list for a long time. But there's a long time tradition where if a Supreme Court Justice dies or retires in an election year, they do not get a replacement justice until the next president takes office (or if the president begins second term). So I'm bit indifferent on this.

Hi!

Invest maybe

ye sometimes i do but i usually stay online

I'll talk about it next morning. I need to get some sleep.

That's true, but to elect a supreme court justice, it needs to be approved by the senate. The reason why Obama couldn't get a person to replace Scalia is because the senate has filibustered his choices. We live in an age of polarization and where people apply to bias rather than what's good for the nation. So Hillary winning may result in Democrats dominating the Supreme Court, but the Republicans dominating the senate would make it harder to nominate a liberal supreme court justice.

The house and senate predictions are pretty accurate. But here's something interesting. If the Republicans win both the house and the senate while Hillary wins the election, it will limit federal power as states will have more power. If the case was the same, but Trump wins, it would be full Republican power in the federal government. And the Republicans already dominate the state governments.

Exactly. Expected outcomes are based on popularity and demographics. Actual outcomes are based on the voter turnout in each state on Election Day.

I'm not sure actually, but it depends in four states.

Some states will always vote Republican, and some states will always vote Democrat. Trump needs to win at least Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio along with the other traditionally red states like Texas to win the election. Those four states are more likely to vote Clinton than Trump, just not on a large margin.

That's pretty interesting.

But if you want to know something, a president can only win based on two measures: electorsl college and voter turnout. Popularity wouldn't matter as much.

For example, Hillary is more popular than Trump in Florida, but if the Trump supporters are more interested into voting than the Clinton supporters, Trump will win all of Florida's electoral votes. It requires 270 electoral votes to win the election.

The reason why it's harder for the Republicans is because even if there are more red states, the blue states tend to have more electoral votes.

I kinda think Clinton will win because of how much people hate Trump, but it's possible for Trump to win. It depends on how our country goes as time passes by. But I felt that Trump has a better chance at winning after the FBI meeting and the Orlando shooting, but he's still hated.

Yes, I actually do. But I also like talking about generations (groups of people born in a certain timeframe).

Thank you!

I'm doing fine. Right now, I'm fixing to go to bed.

Thanks for the birthday wishes

Thank you!

have fun :3

Sent you the TBT tysm

there is always a spike for a party after convention, the numbers will drop back again.
trump didnt get much of a spike tho, so that should be a concern for GOP i think...

I feel that it could work, but one of the vts should be a doctor