I've got all but the two that fall with the maple leaves. I have quite a few extra if anyone needs help. Shoot me a PM, and I'll let you know which spares I've got.
I have pile of autumn leaves, pine bonsai tree, and tree's bounty little tree (gifted by Isabelle) so far. I haven't felt frustrated yet. Probably because I haven't been active in game for long periods of time recently and I've only spotted a few balloons!
I believe I haven't balloon-farmed so intently since the cherry blossom event. The process isn't as tedious and frustrating while I'm watching a tv show or movie.
Frustratingly I only have the pile of leaves, the bobbing toy thing and the tiny tree thing. I also don't balloon farm but I'm not too bothered because I'm counting on playing multiple years anyway
I've only balloon-farmed twice, once for the last cherry-blossom recipe I was missing (it's so....peaceful in the NH in April 2021, for now....ah....) and once for specific holiday recipes back in June (wedding season ran stale after two weeks, and I required some for a crucial section of decoration. At least I can take it easy during the inevitable Jingle event/IRL holiday season)
When September rolled around, I was specifically hoping for the pine-bonsai tree, and...it was the first four balloons with recipes. No, seriously. I have three extra recipe cards lying around now :/
To answer the question, I've gotten all of the pre-November recipes at this point; I've been redecorating some of my island and the balloons wouldn't stop getting in the way...or was I decorating too slowly?
I got all the DIYs in the first three days. I didn't even park myself at the beach as I was busy tidying up my overgrown flowers and popped balloons as I went.
and too many lumps of clay and iron and other random knicknacks. I wait at the beach for balloons but after I get a recipe (or like... 3 "junk" items in a row), I stop for the day.